Essendon v Fremantle
Docklands
16.11
107
14.8
92
Match complete
Essendon won by 15 points
IN
Hocking
Colyer
Watson
Green
Hooker
Bird
OUT
IN
Collins
Griffin
Sheridan
Kersten
Neale
McCarthy
Darcy
Logue
Nyhuis
Deluca
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate | 82% | 39 points | ✓ | 23.7 | 0.71 | |
88% | 45 points | ✓ | 30.0 | 0.82 | ||
Punters | 86% | ✓ | 0.79 | |||
86% | 46 points | ✓ | 31.0 | 0.78 | ||
84% | 35 points | ✓ | 20.3 | 0.74 | ||
81% | 31 points | ✓ | 16.0 | 0.69 | ||
79% | ✓ | 0.67 | ||||
76% | 36 points | ✓ | 21.0 | 0.60 | ||
72% | 39 points | ✓ | 24.0 | 0.54 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.