Melbourne v Brisbane Lions
M.C.G.
16.8
104
14.7
91
Match complete
Melbourne won by 13 points
IN
Stretch
Hogan
Viney
Weideman
OUT
IN
Witherden
Cox
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aggregate | |
83% | 39 points | ✓ | 26.3 | 0.74 |
 |
|
91% | ✓ | 0.86 | ||
 |
|
86% | 42 points | ✓ | 29.0 | 0.78 |
| Punters | |
86% | ✓ | 0.78 | ||
 |
|
85% | 38 points | ✓ | 25.0 | 0.77 |
 |
|
83% | 48 points | ✓ | 35.0 | 0.73 |
 |
|
82% | 40 points | ✓ | 27.0 | 0.72 |
 |
|
82% | 34 points | ✓ | 20.9 | 0.72 |
 |
|
70% | 34 points | ✓ | 21.0 | 0.49 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.