Melbourne v St Kilda
M.C.G.
14.12
96
10.12
72
Match complete
Melbourne won by 24 points
IN
Weideman
Brayshaw
Wagner
Hannan
Watts
Frost
Salem
Maynard
OUT
IN
Gilbert
Riewoldt
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate | 52% | 1 point | ✓ | 23.1 | 0.05 | |
Punters | 62% | ✓ | 0.30 | |||
55% | 4 points | ✓ | 20.0 | 0.14 | ||
55% | 8 points | ✓ | 16.0 | 0.14 | ||
52% | 3 points | ✓ | 21.0 | 0.06 | ||
52% | ✓ | 0.05 | ||||
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 23.0 | 0.03 | ||
54% | 2 points | ✗ | 26.0 | -0.12 | ||
59% | 8 points | ✗ | 32.5 | -0.27 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.