Essendon v Adelaide

Docklands
12.8
80
18.15
123

Match complete
Adelaide won by 43 points

IN
Laverde
McGrath
Leuenberger
Dea
Kelly
Merrett
Fantasia
Hartley
Baguley
Bellchambers
OUT
TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Adelaide
66% 17 points 26.00.41
Punters
Adelaide
76% 0.60
Squiggle
Adelaide
70% 20 points 23.00.49
Figuring Footy
Adelaide
68% 0.44
Matter of Stats
Adelaide
65% 16 points 27.00.38
Graft
Adelaide
65% 16 points 27.00.38
Footy Maths Institute
Adelaide
64% 19 points 24.00.36
PlusSixOne
Adelaide
64% 22 points 21.00.35
The Arc
Adelaide
60% 9 points 34.00.26

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 21, 2017