Brisbane Lions v Western Bulldogs
Gabba
13.11
89
14.19
103
Match complete
Western Bulldogs won by 14 points
IN
McCluggage
Berry
Hipwood
McStay
Zorko
Mayes
Keays
Jansen
Close
Skinner
OUT
IN
Redpath
Smith
Johannisen
Dickson
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aggregate | |
75% | 29 points | ✓ | 14.9 | 0.58 |
 |
|
79% | 32 points | ✓ | 17.6 | 0.66 |
 |
|
78% | ✓ | 0.64 | ||
| Punters | |
76% | ✓ | 0.60 | ||
 |
|
75% | 26 points | ✓ | 12.0 | 0.58 |
 |
|
74% | 32 points | ✓ | 18.0 | 0.57 |
 |
|
74% | 27 points | ✓ | 13.0 | 0.56 |
 |
|
72% | 38 points | ✓ | 24.0 | 0.52 |
 |
|
70% | 19 points | ✓ | 5.0 | 0.49 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.