Carlton v Melbourne
M.C.G.
12.10
82
14.6
90
Match complete
Melbourne won by 8 points
IN
Macreadie
Petrevski-Seton
Lamb
Graham
Marchbank
Sumner
OUT
IN
Smith
Kent
Hogan
Garlett
Viney
Tyson
Bugg
White
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aggregate | |
67% | 19 points | ✓ | 10.9 | 0.43 |
 |
|
75% | ✓ | 0.59 | ||
 |
|
69% | 20 points | ✓ | 12.0 | 0.46 |
 |
|
68% | 17 points | ✓ | 9.0 | 0.45 |
 |
|
68% | 20 points | ✓ | 12.0 | 0.45 |
 |
|
67% | 22 points | ✓ | 14.0 | 0.42 |
 |
|
64% | 13 points | ✓ | 5.3 | 0.36 |
| Punters | |
63% | ✓ | 0.34 | ||
 |
|
63% | 21 points | ✓ | 13.0 | 0.33 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.