Adelaide v Western Bulldogs
Adelaide Oval
16.8
104
5.15
45
Match complete
Adelaide won by 59 points
IN
Otten
Thompson
Cameron
Hartigan
Greenwood
Beech
OUT
IN
Smith
Roberts
Boyd
Liberatore
Dickson
Biggs
Murphy
Campbell
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate | 73% | 26 points | ✓ | 33.2 | 0.54 | |
77% | 32 points | ✓ | 27.0 | 0.63 | ||
76% | 26 points | ✓ | 33.3 | 0.61 | ||
74% | ✓ | 0.57 | ||||
74% | 31 points | ✓ | 28.0 | 0.57 | ||
74% | 26 points | ✓ | 33.0 | 0.57 | ||
72% | 21 points | ✓ | 38.0 | 0.53 | ||
Punters | 72% | ✓ | 0.53 | |||
62% | 19 points | ✓ | 40.0 | 0.30 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.