Hawthorn v Collingwood
M.C.G.
18.10
118
14.10
94
Match complete
Hawthorn won by 24 points
IN
Heatherley
Puopolo
OUT
IN
Thomas
Ramsay
Cox
Elliott
Reid
Aish
Crocker
Brown
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate | 55% | 5 points | ✗ | 28.9 | -0.14 | |
65% | 14 points | ✗ | 38.4 | -0.50 | ||
Punters | 58% | ✗ | -0.26 | |||
54% | 5 points | ✗ | 29.0 | -0.12 | ||
54% | 4 points | ✗ | 28.0 | -0.12 | ||
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 27.0 | -0.09 | ||
53% | 2 points | ✗ | 26.0 | -0.09 | ||
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 25.0 | -0.02 | ||
51% | ✓ | 0.03 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.