Port Adelaide v Richmond

Adelaide Oval
8.15
63
11.10
76

Match complete
Richmond won by 13 points

IN
Polec
Broadbent
Young
Hombsch
OUT
IN
Stengle
Markov
Houli
Bolton
OUT
TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Port Adelaide
70% 24 points 36.6-0.73
Squiggle
Port Adelaide
77% 30 points 43.0-1.12
Footy Maths Institute
Port Adelaide
75% 34 points 47.0-1.00
Punters
Port Adelaide
73% -0.91
Matter of Stats
Port Adelaide
73% 22 points 34.6-0.91
Graft
Port Adelaide
72% 25 points 38.0-0.85
The Arc
Port Adelaide
67% 15 points 28.0-0.60
Figuring Footy
Port Adelaide
62% -0.40
PlusSixOne
Port Adelaide
60% 16 points 29.0-0.31

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 15, 2017