Port Adelaide v Richmond
Adelaide Oval
8.15
63
11.10
76
Match complete
Richmond won by 13 points
IN
Polec
Broadbent
Young
Hombsch
OUT
IN
Stengle
Markov
Houli
Bolton
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate | 70% | 24 points | ✗ | 36.6 | -0.73 | |
77% | 30 points | ✗ | 43.0 | -1.12 | ||
75% | 34 points | ✗ | 47.0 | -1.00 | ||
Punters | 73% | ✗ | -0.91 | |||
73% | 22 points | ✗ | 34.6 | -0.91 | ||
72% | 25 points | ✗ | 38.0 | -0.85 | ||
67% | 15 points | ✗ | 28.0 | -0.60 | ||
62% | ✗ | -0.40 | ||||
60% | 16 points | ✗ | 29.0 | -0.31 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.