Carlton v Adelaide
M.C.G.
12.5
77
13.11
89
Match complete
Adelaide won by 12 points
IN
Sheehan
Cuningham
Fisher
Sumner
Kerridge
White
Curnow
Boekhorst
Lamb
Petrevski-Seton
Smedts
Pickett
OUT
IN
Knight
McGovern
Mackay
Lynch
Cameron
Otten
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate | 72% | 26 points | ✓ | 14.1 | 0.53 | |
78% | 38 points | ✓ | 26.0 | 0.64 | ||
Punters | 75% | ✓ | 0.59 | |||
73% | 23 points | ✓ | 10.8 | 0.55 | ||
72% | 23 points | ✓ | 11.0 | 0.53 | ||
71% | 24 points | ✓ | 12.0 | 0.51 | ||
69% | 33 points | ✓ | 21.0 | 0.47 | ||
69% | ✓ | 0.46 | ||||
68% | 16 points | ✓ | 4.0 | 0.44 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.