Western Bulldogs v North Melbourne
Docklands
15.17
107
16.10
106
Match complete
Western Bulldogs won by 1 point
IN
Redpath
Campbell
Jong
Boyd
OUT
IN
Daw
Macmillan
Swallow
Hansen
Turner
Anderson
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate | 60% | 11 points | ✓ | 9.8 | 0.26 | |
66% | 14 points | ✓ | 13.0 | 0.40 | ||
62% | 15 points | ✓ | 14.0 | 0.31 | ||
62% | 12 points | ✓ | 11.0 | 0.31 | ||
62% | 10 points | ✓ | 9.0 | 0.30 | ||
59% | ✓ | 0.24 | ||||
Punters | 58% | ✓ | 0.22 | |||
55% | 9 points | ✓ | 8.0 | 0.15 | ||
55% | 5 points | ✓ | 4.0 | 0.14 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.