Brisbane Lions v Greater Western Sydney
Gabba
12.14
86
22.14
146
Match complete
Greater Western Sydney won by 60 points
IN
Witherden
Bewick
Harwood
Paparone
OUT
IN
Lloyd
Haynes
Kelly
Perryman
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate | 82% | 42 points | ✓ | 17.8 | 0.71 | |
87% | ✓ | 0.80 | ||||
86% | 45 points | ✓ | 15.0 | 0.78 | ||
85% | 51 points | ✓ | 9.0 | 0.77 | ||
83% | 38 points | ✓ | 22.5 | 0.73 | ||
81% | 57 points | ✓ | 3.0 | 0.69 | ||
79% | 35 points | ✓ | 25.0 | 0.67 | ||
79% | 28 points | ✓ | 32.0 | 0.66 | ||
Punters | 77% | ✓ | 0.62 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.