Sydney v Essendon
S.C.G.
11.20
86
12.13
85
Match complete
Sydney won by 1 point
IN
Florent
Melican
Jones
Marsh
OUT
IN
McKernan
Langford
Hooker
Myers
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate | 75% | 28 points | ✓ | 27.4 | 0.58 | |
84% | ✓ | 0.75 | ||||
79% | 40 points | ✓ | 39.0 | 0.66 | ||
79% | 34 points | ✓ | 33.0 | 0.66 | ||
77% | 27 points | ✓ | 26.0 | 0.63 | ||
75% | 29 points | ✓ | 28.0 | 0.59 | ||
75% | 23 points | ✓ | 22.3 | 0.58 | ||
Punters | 69% | ✓ | 0.47 | |||
60% | 17 points | ✓ | 16.0 | 0.27 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.