Adelaide v Hawthorn
Adelaide Oval
12.10
82
14.12
96
Match complete
Hawthorn won by 14 points
IN
Brown
Knight
OUT
IN
Schoenmakers
Birchall
Breust
Hodge
Gibson
Whitecross
Stewart
Cousins
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aggregate | |
86% | 47 points | ✗ | 61.3 | -1.79 |
 |
|
95% | 60 points | ✗ | 73.9 | -3.29 |
 |
|
89% | 52 points | ✗ | 66.0 | -2.19 |
 |
|
89% | 49 points | ✗ | 63.0 | -2.18 |
| Punters | |
87% | ✗ | -1.97 | ||
 |
|
85% | 53 points | ✗ | 67.0 | -1.74 |
 |
|
85% | ✗ | -1.73 | ||
 |
|
83% | 34 points | ✗ | 48.0 | -1.56 |
 |
|
71% | 36 points | ✗ | 50.0 | -0.79 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.