Melbourne v Collingwood
M.C.G.
15.14
104
15.10
100
Match complete
Melbourne won by 4 points
IN
Salem
Wagner
OUT
IN
Brown
Langdon
Aish
Fasolo
Wells
Goldsack
Elliott
Ramsay
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aggregate | |
52% | 1 point | ✓ | 3.5 | 0.04 |
| Punters | |
60% | ✓ | 0.26 | ||
 |
|
58% | ✓ | 0.21 | ||
 |
|
56% | 9 points | ✓ | 5.0 | 0.16 |
 |
|
53% | 3 points | ✓ | 1.0 | 0.08 |
 |
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 3.0 | 0.02 |
 |
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 5.0 | -0.03 |
 |
|
54% | 5 points | ✗ | 9.0 | -0.12 |
 |
|
60% | 10 points | ✗ | 14.3 | -0.33 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.