Carlton v Greater Western Sydney

Docklands
10.11
71
9.16
70

Match complete
Carlton won by 1 point

IN
Jones
Lamb
Thomas
Graham
Petrevski-Seton
Macreadie
OUT
IN
Johnson
Lloyd
OUT
TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Greater Western Sydney
74% 27 points 28.3-0.93
Figuring Footy
Greater Western Sydney
77% -1.15
Footy Maths Institute
Greater Western Sydney
77% 37 points 38.0-1.12
Punters
Greater Western Sydney
76% -1.06
Matter of Stats
Greater Western Sydney
75% 24 points 25.0-0.98
PlusSixOne
Greater Western Sydney
73% 39 points 40.0-0.87
The Arc
Greater Western Sydney
71% 19 points 20.0-0.79
Squiggle
Greater Western Sydney
71% 23 points 24.0-0.79
Graft
Greater Western Sydney
70% 22 points 23.0-0.73

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 12, 2017