Carlton v Greater Western Sydney
Docklands
10.11
71
9.16
70
Match complete
Carlton won by 1 point
IN
Jones
Lamb
Thomas
Graham
Petrevski-Seton
Macreadie
OUT
IN
Johnson
Lloyd
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate | 74% | 27 points | ✗ | 28.3 | -0.93 | |
77% | ✗ | -1.15 | ||||
77% | 37 points | ✗ | 38.0 | -1.12 | ||
Punters | 76% | ✗ | -1.06 | |||
75% | 24 points | ✗ | 25.0 | -0.98 | ||
73% | 39 points | ✗ | 40.0 | -0.87 | ||
71% | 19 points | ✗ | 20.0 | -0.79 | ||
71% | 23 points | ✗ | 24.0 | -0.79 | ||
70% | 22 points | ✗ | 23.0 | -0.73 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.