North Melbourne v Sydney
Docklands
11.12
78
18.12
120
Match complete
Sydney won by 42 points
IN
Durdin
Simpkin
Waite
Wagner
OUT
IN
Newman
Florent
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate | 58% | 7 points | ✗ | 49.3 | -0.24 | |
64% | 12 points | ✗ | 54.0 | -0.45 | ||
63% | ✗ | -0.43 | ||||
61% | 12 points | ✗ | 54.0 | -0.37 | ||
59% | 8 points | ✗ | 50.0 | -0.30 | ||
Punters | 55% | ✗ | -0.17 | |||
54% | 5 points | ✗ | 47.0 | -0.12 | ||
53% | 4 points | ✗ | 46.0 | -0.09 | ||
52% | 3 points | ✗ | 45.0 | -0.06 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.