Adelaide v Melbourne
Adelaide Oval
9.12
66
17.5
107
Match complete
Melbourne won by 41 points
IN
Menzel
Milera
Lever
Knight
OUT
IN
Weideman
Kent
Hogan
Kennedy Harris
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aggregate | |
82% | 42 points | ✗ | 83.1 | -1.50 |
 |
|
89% | 46 points | ✗ | 87.5 | -2.21 |
 |
|
86% | 55 points | ✗ | 96.0 | -1.84 |
 |
|
86% | 47 points | ✗ | 88.0 | -1.84 |
 |
|
86% | 46 points | ✗ | 87.0 | -1.83 |
| Punters | |
84% | ✗ | -1.66 | ||
 |
|
82% | 32 points | ✗ | 73.0 | -1.46 |
 |
|
80% | ✗ | -1.35 | ||
 |
|
66% | 26 points | ✗ | 67.0 | -0.54 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.