Hawthorn v Brisbane Lions
University of Tasmania Stadium
17.11
113
11.9
75
Match complete
Hawthorn won by 38 points
IN
Fitzpatrick
Henderson
Birchall
Sicily
OUT
IN
Walker
Bewick
Bell
Robinson
McStay
McCluggage
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate | 83% | 44 points | ✓ | 5.5 | 0.74 | |
88% | 59 points | ✓ | 21.0 | 0.82 | ||
88% | 52 points | ✓ | 14.0 | 0.82 | ||
85% | 38 points | ✓ | 0.0 | 0.77 | ||
Punters | 85% | ✓ | 0.77 | |||
84% | ✓ | 0.75 | ||||
83% | 41 points | ✓ | 3.0 | 0.73 | ||
80% | 31 points | ✓ | 6.8 | 0.67 | ||
73% | 40 points | ✓ | 2.0 | 0.55 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.