Melbourne v Hawthorn

M.C.G.
14.7
91
14.10
94

Match complete
Hawthorn won by 3 points

IN
Wagner
Hogan
Melksham
Neal-Bullen
OUT
IN
Birchall
Rioli
Brand
O'Meara
OUT
TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Melbourne
57% 5 points 8.4-0.20
Matter of Stats
Melbourne
65% 13 points 16.3-0.50
Punters
Melbourne
64% -0.47
Graft
Melbourne
60% 10 points 13.0-0.31
Figuring Footy
Melbourne
57% -0.23
PlusSixOne
Melbourne
57% 12 points 15.0-0.22
The Arc
Melbourne
55% 4 points 7.0-0.15
Squiggle
Melbourne
52% 3 points 6.0-0.06
Footy Maths Institute
Hawthorn
57% 10 points 7.00.19

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 7, 2017