Collingwood v Carlton
M.C.G.
8.8
56
12.7
79
Match complete
Carlton won by 23 points
IN
Ramsay
Reid
De Goey
Varcoe
Wells
Schade
OUT
IN
Kerridge
Thomas
Silvagni
Fisher
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aggregate | |
70% | 24 points | ✗ | 46.7 | -0.74 |
 |
|
78% | 26 points | ✗ | 49.1 | -1.16 |
| Punters | |
72% | ✗ | -0.85 | ||
 |
|
72% | 25 points | ✗ | 48.0 | -0.84 |
 |
|
71% | 28 points | ✗ | 51.0 | -0.79 |
 |
|
70% | 22 points | ✗ | 45.0 | -0.73 |
 |
|
68% | 17 points | ✗ | 40.0 | -0.66 |
 |
|
65% | ✗ | -0.53 | ||
 |
|
65% | 24 points | ✗ | 47.0 | -0.50 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.